Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 20.108682 22.780567 25.696001 29.116728 33.024762 37.355327 42.524937
2025-02-09 15.907015 19.467865 23.681131 29.048392 35.724793 43.783280 54.288432
2025-02-16 12.771163 16.654111 21.565997 28.266896 37.219767 48.837798 65.169019
2025-02-23 10.626877 14.621695 19.969901 27.706318 38.699197 53.890228 76.701153
2025-03-02 9.083816 13.092355 18.729602 27.312549 40.186885 58.996033 88.953175
2025-03-09 7.990120 12.000435 17.892729 27.285045 42.077614 64.806811 103.005660
2025-03-16 7.096716 11.059630 17.116081 27.178583 43.744481 70.397512 117.457864
2025-03-23 6.599559 10.647966 17.068773 28.163447 47.214485 79.244328 138.547650
2025-03-30 6.009206 10.003227 16.553368 28.281458 49.207937 85.836050 156.681334
2025-04-06 5.372746 9.199873 15.669426 27.634111 49.743868 89.897935 170.753521
2025-04-13 4.858004 8.541629 14.948421 27.164135 50.498887 94.390313 186.235608
2025-04-20 4.600851 8.305980 14.936181 27.970867 53.715510 103.887268 213.055243
2025-04-27 4.408686 8.178400 15.125087 29.221797 58.047143 116.339212 248.476697
2025-05-04 4.118777 7.836444 14.877356 29.595699 60.689831 125.802778 279.243846
2025-05-11 3.747998 7.297695 14.190963 28.998662 61.235458 130.954198 301.279630
2025-05-18 3.431802 6.832009 13.596010 28.513275 61.947210 136.557644 325.361725
2025-05-25 3.162521 6.431983 13.088870 28.148480 62.868418 142.751402 351.978338
2025-06-01 2.954241 6.135853 12.763699 28.139015 64.591653 151.043314 385.382375
2025-06-08 2.758384 5.845204 12.417927 28.037692 66.080586 158.986772 419.352076
2025-06-15 2.670559 5.779139 12.551764 29.059818 70.423550 174.618756 477.134416
2025-06-22 2.520763 5.559800 12.320289 29.183738 72.547870 184.928929 522.008219
2025-06-29 2.328435 5.224767 11.790519 28.515323 72.550425 189.669115 551.601210
2025-07-06 2.166386 4.943485 11.356081 28.029822 72.960307 195.552340 585.741148